Higher Rates Could Actually Help Housing Supply – Here’s How.

You may have heard the number of homes for sale isn’t growing like it was. And maybe that has you worried you won’t find a home you love when it’s time to make your move.

But that may be about to change. Here’s why your pool of options may actually start ticking back up again.

Growth Has Slowed, But It Hasn’t Stopped

Active listings were up 2.1% year-over-year in July, according to Realtor.com. Back in January, inventory was up 10%. And in May of 2025, it was up 31.5%. So, growth has cooled off a lot over the last year.

The past 3 months, though, have all seen inventory growth land in roughly the same range, which is a sign this slowdown may be nearing its floor (see graph below):

So, what does that mean for you?

Homes are still coming onto the market. Every single one of these bars shows a period where inventory grew. So, don’t be discouraged or let this make you think you’re out of options. Plus, we’ve seen more stability in the numbers lately, which is a good sign.

The Most Homes for Sale Since 2019

Compared to the rock-bottom lows of 2021, inventory has climbed back substantially. Nationally, the number of homes for sale has been up year-over-year consistently now for 33 months. And inventory has almost doubled in just a few years. So don’t get too hung up on the pace of that increase.

This July was actually the best July for inventory since 2019 (see graph below):

Now, the market still needs about 150k listings to get back to pre-pandemic levels, but things are quickly approaching normal. And experts think we may even be back to 2019 levels by the end of this year, even with the slowdown we’ve already seen.

And that’s thanks to one unlikely factor: mortgage rates.

Why Higher Rates May Actually Help Inventory Grow

It works like this. When mortgage rates climb, inventory tends to climb with them. As Mike Simonsen, Chief Economist at Compass, explains:

“When rates rise; inventory rises. When rates fall; inventory falls. So, from July last year to March this year, rates ease lower and all the inventory growth of the past several years evaporated. If rates move higher from here or stay elevated for [a] longer period of time, then we should expect supply to build again.”

Well, rates are expected to hold in the mid-to-upper 6% range for a while longer, and Realtor.com‘s latest forecast has inventory ending 2026 up 3.6% year-over-year.

That means 2 things:

Inventory growth is forecast to pick up a little bit throughout the rest of the year.
And, inventory is projected to close the year at a historically normal level, right about where it stood at the end of 2019.

For buyers, that’s a win. Even if today’s rates aren’t your favorite, they’re helping the number of homes on the market to grow. And more homes for sale means more choices, more room to negotiate, and less pressure to rush your search.

Bottom Line

The number of homes for sale is growing slowly but surely, and that means more options for your move. Want to see what’s available in our area? Reach out, and let’s take a look together.

Tiia Cartwright

Tiia Cartwright, originally from Finland, is a distinguished real estate broker who is transforming the industry through her unwavering commitment to excellence and a client-centric approach. After moving to the United States during her high school years, Tiia pursued a degree in Finance at Louisiana State University, equipping her with a strong foundation in financial management and analysis. Her career journey initially led her to Arthur Andersen in New York City, one of the most prestigious public accounting firms. While she gained valuable experience in finance and accounting, Tiia discovered her true calling lay in connecting with people on a more personal level. In 2006, she took a bold step to transition into real estate, joining forces with Rhonda Duffy at Duffy Realty of Atlanta. There, she quickly became a top-performing real estate professional, adept at forming genuine connections with her clients. During her time with Duffy Realty, Tiia successfully listed and sold around 600 homes, earning a stellar reputation for her exceptional service. In 2007, Tiia founded Cartwright Realty in Tampa, FL, aiming to make a lasting impact on the industry. Under her visionary leadership and relentless pursuit of excellence, the agency has become a market leader in the region, exceeding client expectations and setting new industry standards. Tiia's commitment to her clients' satisfaction has made her a trusted advisor, helping individuals and families navigate the complexities of buying and selling homes. Her deep local market knowledge and understanding of her clients' unique needs enable her to craft tailored strategies that consistently deliver outstanding results. Beyond her professional success, Tiia's dedication extends to her community, actively participating in charitable initiatives. Her efforts to make a positive difference in the lives of those less fortunate have earned her recognition and accolades. Today, Tiia Cartwright is a respected figure in the real estate industry, setting the standard for exceptional service, expertise, and dedication to her clients' success. Her consistent top performance exemplifies professionalism and serves as an inspiring example for emerging real estate professionals. For those seeking guidance in the complex world of real estate, Tiia Cartwright and her Cartwright Realty team embody excellence, integrity, and a track record of outstanding results.

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Higher Rates Could Actually Help Housing Supply – Here’s How.